← Back to the recap

Sunday · May 17 · 1:40 PM ✦

YANKEES @ METS

Citi Field. · 85 degrees, sunny, wind 2 mph out to cf

Final

Yankees 6
METS 7

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 New York Mets · Actual: 6–7 Mets

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Yankees Mets Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 44% 56% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 55% 45% 4–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 56% 44% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 67% 33% 4–3 ✗
Logistic New York Mets 35% 65% — ✓
Random Forest New York Mets 44% 56% — ✓
Consensus New York Mets 50% 50% 4–4 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Yankees this season

83–76

52% across 159 games

Mets this season

81–74

52% across 155 games