YANKEES @ METS

Citi Field. · 66 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph l to r

Final

YANKEES 5

Mets 2

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 New York Yankees · Actual: 5–2 Yankees

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation	Pick	Yankees	Mets	Projected	Result
Baseline	New York Yankees	53%	47%	5–4	✓
Pitcher-weighted	New York Mets	49%	51%	4–4	✗
Platoon-weighted	New York Yankees	53%	47%	4–4	✓
Pitcher + Platoon	New York Mets	47%	53%	4–4	✗
Logistic	New York Yankees	53%	47%	—	✓
Random Forest	New York Mets	40%	60%	—	✗
Consensus	New York Yankees	50%	50%	4–4	✓

3 of 6 sims got it right.

Yankees this season

25–20

56% across 45 games

Mets this season

28–17

62% across 45 games