Thursday · May 14 · 1:10 PM ✦
TIGERS @ METS
Citi Field. · 62 degrees, cloudy, wind 2 mph in from lf
Final
Tigers
4
METS
9
Our Pick
NEW YORK METS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 New York Mets · Actual: 4–9 Mets
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Tigers | Mets | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Detroit Tigers | 51% | 49% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | New York Mets | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 60% | 40% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Mets | 29% | 71% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Detroit Tigers | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Detroit Tigers | 54% | 46% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | New York Mets | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✓ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Tigers this season
31–13
70% across 44 games
Mets this season
28–17
62% across 45 games