Wednesday · May 13 · 7:10 PM ✦
TIGERS @ METS
Citi Field. · 60 degrees, cloudy, wind 16 mph out to lf
Final
Tigers
2
METS
3
Our Pick
DETROIT TIGERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 2–3 Mets
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Tigers | Mets | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Detroit Tigers | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Mets | 47% | 53% | 4–5 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Detroit Tigers | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Detroit Tigers | 54% | 46% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | New York Mets | 45% | 55% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Detroit Tigers | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Tigers this season
95–58
62% across 153 games
Mets this season
81–74
52% across 155 games