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Tuesday · May 12 ✦

TIGERS @ METS

Citi Field.

Final

Tigers 2
METS 10

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 New York Mets · Actual: 2–10 Mets

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Tigers Mets Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 47% 53% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 47% 53% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Detroit Tigers 58% 42% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 60% 40% 3–3
Logistic New York Mets 46% 54%
Random Forest New York Mets 35% 65%
Consensus New York Mets 50% 50% 4–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Tigers this season

31–13

70% across 44 games

Mets this season

28–17

62% across 45 games