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Tuesday · May 12 ✦

TIGERS @ METS

Citi Field.

Final

Tigers 2
METS 10

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 New York Mets · Actual: 2–10 Mets

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Tigers Mets Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 47% 53% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 47% 53% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Detroit Tigers 58% 42% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 60% 40% 3–3 ✗
Logistic New York Mets 46% 54% — ✓
Random Forest New York Mets 35% 65% — ✓
Consensus New York Mets 50% 50% 4–3 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Tigers this season

95–58

62% across 153 games

Mets this season

81–74

52% across 155 games