Wednesday · April 29 ✦
NATIONALS @ METS
Citi Field.
Final
NATIONALS
14
Mets
2
Our Pick
NEW YORK METS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 New York Mets · Actual: 14–2 Nationals
57%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Mets | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | New York Mets | 36% | 64% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | New York Mets | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Mets | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Washington Nationals | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | New York Mets | 47% | 53% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | New York Mets | 37% | 63% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | New York Mets | 43% | 57% | 3–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
27–20
57% across 47 games
Mets this season
28–18
61% across 46 games