Thursday · April 30 · 1:10 PM ✦
NATIONALS @ METS
Citi Field. · 54 degrees, cloudy, wind 4 mph out to rf
Final
NATIONALS
5
Mets
4
Our Pick
NEW YORK METS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 New York Mets · Actual: 5–4 Nationals
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Mets | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | New York Mets | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | New York Mets | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Mets | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Mets | 33% | 67% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 56% | 44% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 67% | 33% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | New York Mets | 48% | 52% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Mets this season
81–74
52% across 155 games