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Sunday · April 26 · 1:41 PM ✦

ROCKIES @ METS

Citi Field. · 54 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph in from rf

Final

ROCKIES 3
Mets 1

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 New York Mets · Actual: 3–1 Rockies

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rockies Mets Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 36% 64% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 33% 67% 3–5
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 38% 62% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 40% 60% 3–3
Logistic Colorado Rockies 52% 48%
Random Forest Colorado Rockies 75% 25%
Consensus New York Mets 48% 52% 3–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rockies this season

31–15

67% across 46 games

Mets this season

28–18

61% across 46 games