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Friday · April 24 · 7:10 pm ✦

ROCKIES @ METS

Citi Field. · 54 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph out to lf

Final

ROCKIES 4
Mets 3

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 New York Mets · Actual: 4–3 Rockies

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rockies Mets Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 36% 64% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 42% 58% 3–4
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 33% 67% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 38% 62% 3–4
Logistic Colorado Rockies 50% 50%
Random Forest Colorado Rockies 74% 26%
Consensus New York Mets 48% 52% 3–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rockies this season

31–15

67% across 46 games

Mets this season

28–18

61% across 46 games