Tuesday · April 21 · 7:10 pm ✦
TWINS @ METS
Citi Field. · 46 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 11 mph out to lf
Final
TWINS
5
Mets
3
Our Pick
MINNESOTA TWINS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 5–3 Twins
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Twins | Mets | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | New York Mets | 44% | 56% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | New York Mets | 42% | 58% | 4–5 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Mets | 38% | 62% | 3–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Mets | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Minnesota Twins | 54% | 46% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Minnesota Twins | 70% | 30% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Minnesota Twins | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Twins this season
83–72
54% across 155 games
Mets this season
81–74
52% across 155 games