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Saturday · April 11 · 4:10 pm ✦

ATHLETICS @ METS

Citi Field. · 62 degrees, sunny, wind 12 mph in from cf

Final

ATHLETICS 11
Mets 6

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 New York Mets · Actual: 11–6 Athletics

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Athletics Mets Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 42% 58% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 40% 60% 3–4
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 45% 55% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 45% 55% 4–4
Logistic New York Mets 45% 55%
Random Forest Athletics 69% 31%
Consensus New York Mets 49% 51% 4–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Athletics this season

31–17

65% across 48 games

Mets this season

29–18

62% across 47 games