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Sunday · March 29 · 1:40 pm ✦

PIRATES @ METS

Citi Field. · 49 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 13 mph out to lf

Final

PIRATES 4
Mets 3

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 New York Mets · Actual: 4–3 Pirates

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Pirates Mets Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 45% 55% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 49% 51% 3–3
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 49% 51% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 40% 60% 3–4
Logistic New York Mets 48% 52%
Random Forest New York Mets 49% 51%
Consensus New York Mets 47% 53% 3–4
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Pirates this season

26–21

55% across 47 games

Mets this season

29–18

62% across 47 games