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Tuesday · April 7 · 4:10 pm ✦

D-BACKS @ METS

Citi Field. · 50 degrees, sunny, wind 25 mph l to r

Final

D-backs 3
METS 4

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 New York Mets · Actual: 3–4 Mets

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick D-backs Mets Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 45% 55% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 44% 56% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 58% 42% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon New York Mets 40% 60% 3–3
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 55% 45%
Random Forest New York Mets 41% 59%
Consensus New York Mets 47% 53% 4–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

D-backs this season

28–18

61% across 46 games

Mets this season

29–18

62% across 47 games