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Saturday · September 12 · 3:11 PM ✦

GUARDIANS @ TWINS

Target Field. · 72 degrees, sunny, wind 12 mph out to cf

Final

Guardians 3
TWINS 4

Our Pick

MINNESOTA TWINS, comfortably

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–6 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 3–4 Twins

68%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Guardians Twins Projected Result
Baseline Minnesota Twins 29% 71% 3–7 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Minnesota Twins 35% 65% 3–5 ✓
Platoon-weighted Minnesota Twins 25% 75% 3–6 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Minnesota Twins 29% 71% 3–6 ✓
Logistic Minnesota Twins 39% 61% — ✓
Random Forest Minnesota Twins 29% 71% — ✓
Consensus Minnesota Twins 32% 68% 3–6 ✓
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Guardians this season

78–81

49% across 159 games

Twins this season

83–72

54% across 155 games