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Friday · September 11 · 7:10 pm ✦

GUARDIANS @ TWINS

Target Field. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 19 mph r to l

Final

GUARDIANS 5
Twins 2

Our Pick

MINNESOTA TWINS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 5–2 Guardians

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Guardians Twins Projected Result
Baseline Minnesota Twins 29% 71% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 51% 49% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Minnesota Twins 49% 51% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 58% 42% 4–2 ✓
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 52% 48% — ✓
Random Forest Minnesota Twins 35% 65% — ✗
Consensus Minnesota Twins 47% 53% 3–3 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Guardians this season

78–81

49% across 159 games

Twins this season

83–72

54% across 155 games