Wednesday · September 2 · 6:40 pm ✦
TIGERS @ TWINS
Target Field. · 86 degrees, clear, wind 4 mph in from cf
Final
TIGERS
11
Twins
6
Our Pick
MINNESOTA TWINS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 11–6 Tigers
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Tigers | Twins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Minnesota Twins | 33% | 67% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 35% | 65% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Minnesota Twins | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Detroit Tigers | 56% | 44% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Detroit Tigers | 53% | 47% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Minnesota Twins | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Tigers this season
95–58
62% across 153 games
Twins this season
83–72
54% across 155 games