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Monday · August 31 · 6:40 pm ✦

TIGERS @ TWINS

Target Field. · 90 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph out to rf

Final

Tigers 1
TWINS 11

Our Pick

MINNESOTA TWINS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 1–11 Twins

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Tigers Twins Projected Result
Baseline Minnesota Twins 40% 60% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Detroit Tigers 55% 45% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Minnesota Twins 45% 55% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 62% 38% 4–3 ✗
Logistic Detroit Tigers 52% 48% — ✗
Random Forest Minnesota Twins 39% 61% — ✓
Consensus Minnesota Twins 50% 50% 4–4 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Tigers this season

95–58

62% across 153 games

Twins this season

83–72

54% across 155 games