Wednesday · August 19 · 12:41 PM ✦
BRAVES @ TWINS
Target Field. · 77 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph in from cf
Final
Braves
4
TWINS
6
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 4–6 Twins
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Braves | Twins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Minnesota Twins | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 71% | 29% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Atlanta Braves | 62% | 38% | 5–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Atlanta Braves | 52% | 48% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Minnesota Twins | 45% | 55% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Braves this season
63–60
51% across 123 games
Twins this season
63–59
52% across 122 games