Tuesday · August 18 · 6:40 pm ✦
BRAVES @ TWINS
Target Field. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph out to rf
Final
Braves
1
TWINS
4
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 1–4 Twins
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Braves | Twins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Atlanta Braves | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 55% | 45% | 5–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Atlanta Braves | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Atlanta Braves | 55% | 45% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Minnesota Twins | 44% | 56% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 54% | 46% | 4–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Braves this season
63–60
51% across 123 games
Twins this season
63–59
52% across 122 games