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Monday · August 17 · 6:40 pm ✦

BRAVES @ TWINS

Target Field. · 83 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph out to cf

Final

Braves 2
TWINS 4

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 2–4 Twins

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Braves Twins Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 64% 36% 5–4
Pitcher-weighted Minnesota Twins 44% 56% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Minnesota Twins 49% 51% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 56% 44% 4–3
Logistic Atlanta Braves 52% 48%
Random Forest Minnesota Twins 44% 56%
Consensus Atlanta Braves 52% 48% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Braves this season

63–60

51% across 123 games

Twins this season

63–59

52% across 122 games