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Monday · August 17 · 6:40 pm ✦

BRAVES @ TWINS

Target Field. · 83 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph out to cf

Final

Braves 2
TWINS 4

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 2–4 Twins

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Braves Twins Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 64% 36% 5–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Minnesota Twins 44% 56% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Minnesota Twins 49% 51% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 56% 44% 4–3 ✗
Logistic Atlanta Braves 52% 48% — ✗
Random Forest Minnesota Twins 44% 56% — ✓
Consensus Atlanta Braves 52% 48% 4–4 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Braves this season

86–76

53% across 162 games

Twins this season

83–72

54% across 155 games