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Thursday · August 13 · 6:30 pm ✦

PHILLIES @ TWINS

Field of Dreams. · 73 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph out to cf

Final

PHILLIES 7
Twins 1

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 7–1 Phillies

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Phillies Twins Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 53% 47% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 53% 47% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 62% 38% 5–3
Pitcher + Platoon Philadelphia Phillies 55% 45% 4–3
Logistic Philadelphia Phillies 58% 42%
Random Forest Minnesota Twins 45% 55%
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 55% 45% 4–4
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Phillies this season

78–45

63% across 123 games

Twins this season

64–59

52% across 123 games