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Thursday · August 13 · 6:30 pm ✦

PHILLIES @ TWINS

Field of Dreams. · 73 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph out to cf

Final

PHILLIES 7
Twins 1

Our Pick

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 7–1 Phillies

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Phillies Twins Projected Result
Baseline Philadelphia Phillies 53% 47% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 53% 47% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Philadelphia Phillies 62% 38% 5–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Philadelphia Phillies 55% 45% 4–3 ✓
Logistic Philadelphia Phillies 58% 42% — ✓
Random Forest Minnesota Twins 45% 55% — ✗
Consensus Philadelphia Phillies 55% 45% 4–4 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Phillies this season

94–64

59% across 158 games

Twins this season

83–72

54% across 155 games