Sunday · August 16 · 1:12 PM ✦
PHILLIES @ TWINS
Target Field. · 79 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 12 mph out to cf
Final
PHILLIES
7
Twins
5
Our Pick
MINNESOTA TWINS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 7–5 Phillies
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Twins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Minnesota Twins | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Philadelphia Phillies | 55% | 45% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Minnesota Twins | 37% | 63% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Minnesota Twins | 50% | 50% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
Twins this season
83–72
54% across 155 games