Saturday · August 15 · 6:10 pm ✦
PHILLIES @ TWINS
Target Field. · 79 degrees, overcast, wind 6 mph out to lf
Final
PHILLIES
9
Twins
1
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 9–1 Phillies
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Twins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Minnesota Twins | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 64% | 36% | 5–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Minnesota Twins | 46% | 54% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Minnesota Twins | 46% | 54% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 52% | 48% | 4–3 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
Twins this season
83–72
54% across 155 games