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Wednesday · August 12 · 12:42 PM ✦

ORIOLES @ TWINS

Target Field. · 86 degrees, sunny, wind 7 mph in from cf

Final

Orioles 5
TWINS 7

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 5–7 Twins

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Orioles Twins Projected Result
Baseline Baltimore Orioles 65% 35% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 56% 44% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Baltimore Orioles 65% 35% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 53% 47% 3–3
Logistic Baltimore Orioles 51% 49%
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 57% 43%
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 58% 42% 4–3
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Orioles this season

67–54

55% across 121 games

Twins this season

64–59

52% across 123 games