Tuesday · August 11 · 6:40 pm ✦
ORIOLES @ TWINS
Target Field. · 85 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph in from lf
Final
ORIOLES
5
Twins
2
Our Pick
MINNESOTA TWINS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 5–2 Orioles
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Orioles | Twins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Minnesota Twins | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 51% | 49% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Baltimore Orioles | 56% | 44% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Minnesota Twins | 48% | 52% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Minnesota Twins | 40% | 60% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Minnesota Twins | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games
Twins this season
83–72
54% across 155 games