Thursday · July 30 · 12:41 PM ✦
ROYALS @ TWINS
Target Field. · 84 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph out to lf
Final
Royals
3
TWINS
4
Our Pick
KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 3–4 Twins
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Royals | Twins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Kansas City Royals | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Kansas City Royals | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Kansas City Royals | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Kansas City Royals | 50% | 50% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Kansas City Royals | 51% | 49% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Kansas City Royals | 52% | 48% | 3–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Royals this season
78–77
50% across 155 games
Twins this season
83–72
54% across 155 games