Monday · August 10 · 6:40 pm ✦
ORIOLES @ TWINS
Target Field. · 86 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph in from rf
Final
Orioles
5
TWINS
9
Our Pick
MINNESOTA TWINS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 5–9 Twins
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Orioles | Twins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Baltimore Orioles | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Minnesota Twins | 40% | 60% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Minnesota Twins | 45% | 55% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Minnesota Twins | 42% | 58% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Minnesota Twins | 46% | 54% | 4–4 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games
Twins this season
83–72
54% across 155 games