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Tuesday · July 28 · 6:40 pm ✦

ROYALS @ TWINS

Target Field. · 89 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph out to cf

Final

Royals 2
TWINS 3

Our Pick

MINNESOTA TWINS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 2–3 Twins

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Twins Projected Result
Baseline Minnesota Twins 44% 56% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 62% 38% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Minnesota Twins 45% 55% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Minnesota Twins 42% 56% 3–4
Logistic Kansas City Royals 55% 45%
Random Forest Minnesota Twins 41% 59%
Consensus Minnesota Twins 49% 51% 3–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

66–58

53% across 124 games

Twins this season

64–59

52% across 123 games