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Wednesday · July 29 · 6:40 pm ✦

ROYALS @ TWINS

Target Field. · 88 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph out to rf

Final

ROYALS 4
Twins 0

Our Pick

MINNESOTA TWINS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 4–0 Royals

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Twins Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 55% 45% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Minnesota Twins 38% 62% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Minnesota Twins 36% 64% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Minnesota Twins 42% 58% 3–4
Logistic Kansas City Royals 51% 49%
Random Forest Minnesota Twins 48% 52%
Consensus Minnesota Twins 45% 55% 3–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

66–58

53% across 124 games

Twins this season

64–59

52% across 123 games