Sunday · July 26 · 1:12 PM ✦
ATHLETICS @ TWINS
Target Field. · 92 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph out to lf
Final
Athletics
8
TWINS
11
Our Pick
ATHLETICS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Athletics · Actual: 8–11 Twins
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Athletics | Twins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Athletics | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Athletics | 69% | 31% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Athletics | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Athletics | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Minnesota Twins | 39% | 61% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Athletics | 50% | 50% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Athletics | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Athletics this season
73–51
59% across 124 games
Twins this season
64–59
52% across 123 games