Thursday · July 9 · 12:41 PM ✦
GUARDIANS @ TWINS
Target Field. · 79 degrees, sunny, wind 6 mph in from lf
Final
GUARDIANS
5
Twins
2
Our Pick
MINNESOTA TWINS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 5–2 Guardians
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Guardians | Twins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Minnesota Twins | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 44% | 56% | 2–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Minnesota Twins | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Cleveland Guardians | 52% | 48% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Cleveland Guardians | 68% | 32% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Minnesota Twins | 50% | 50% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Guardians this season
62–62
50% across 124 games
Twins this season
65–59
52% across 124 games