← Back to the recap

Sunday · June 28 · 1:12 PM ✦

ROCKIES @ TWINS

Target Field. · 74 degrees, overcast, wind 17 mph in from rf

Final

Rockies 2
TWINS 3

Our Pick

COLORADO ROCKIES, comfortably

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–2 Colorado Rockies · Actual: 2–3 Twins

67%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rockies Twins Projected Result
Baseline Colorado Rockies 85% 15% 5–2 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Colorado Rockies 71% 29% 4–2 ✗
Platoon-weighted Colorado Rockies 65% 35% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Colorado Rockies 64% 36% 4–2 ✗
Logistic Colorado Rockies 55% 45% — ✗
Random Forest Colorado Rockies 62% 38% — ✗
Consensus Colorado Rockies 67% 33% 4–2 ✗
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rockies this season

94–60

61% across 154 games

Twins this season

83–72

54% across 155 games