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Tuesday · July 7 · 6:40 pm ✦

GUARDIANS @ TWINS

Target Field. · 87 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph r to l

Final

Guardians 1
TWINS 3

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 1–3 Twins

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Guardians Twins Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 67% 33% 3–2 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 51% 49% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 60% 40% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 51% 49% 3–3 ✗
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 54% 46% — ✗
Random Forest Cleveland Guardians 68% 32% — ✗
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 58% 42% 3–3 ✗
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Guardians this season

78–81

49% across 159 games

Twins this season

83–72

54% across 155 games