← Back to the recap

Sunday · June 7 · 1:11 PM ✦

ROYALS @ TWINS

Target Field. · 85 degrees, cloudy, wind 12 mph in from lf

Final

ROYALS 6
Twins 5

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 6–5 Royals

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Twins Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 51% 49% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 55% 45% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 53% 47% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 69% 31% 4–2 ✓
Logistic Minnesota Twins 45% 55% — ✗
Random Forest Minnesota Twins 41% 59% — ✗
Consensus Kansas City Royals 53% 47% 4–3 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games

Twins this season

83–72

54% across 155 games