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Thursday · June 4 · 6:40 pm ✦

ROYALS @ TWINS

Target Field. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph out to lf

Final

ROYALS 8
Twins 6

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 8–6 Royals

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Twins Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 51% 49% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 60% 40% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 58% 42% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Minnesota Twins 42% 58% 3–4 ✗
Logistic Kansas City Royals 55% 45% — ✓
Random Forest Minnesota Twins 49% 51% — ✗
Consensus Kansas City Royals 53% 47% 4–3 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games

Twins this season

83–72

54% across 155 games