← Back to the recap

Friday · June 5 · 7:15 pm ✦

ROYALS @ TWINS

Target Field. · 78 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph out to rf

Final

Royals 3
TWINS 5

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 3–5 Twins

62%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Twins Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 60% 40% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 56% 44% 4–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 65% 35% 3–2 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 69% 31% 4–3 ✗
Logistic Kansas City Royals 61% 39% — ✗
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 62% 38% — ✗
Consensus Kansas City Royals 62% 38% 4–3 ✗
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games

Twins this season

83–72

54% across 155 games