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Wednesday · May 20 · 12:42 PM ✦

ASTROS @ TWINS

Target Field. · 57 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 4 mph l to r

Final

Astros 1
TWINS 4

Our Pick

HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Houston Astros · Actual: 1–4 Twins

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Astros Twins Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 65% 35% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Minnesota Twins 49% 51% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Minnesota Twins 47% 53% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Houston Astros 53% 47% 3–3
Logistic Minnesota Twins 46% 54%
Random Forest Houston Astros 50% 50%
Consensus Houston Astros 51% 49% 4–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Astros this season

30–14

68% across 44 games

Twins this season

23–22

51% across 45 games