Tuesday · May 19 ✦
ASTROS @ TWINS
Target Field.
Final
ASTROS
2
Twins
1
Our Pick
MINNESOTA TWINS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 2–1 Astros
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Astros | Twins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Houston Astros | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Houston Astros | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Houston Astros | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Minnesota Twins | 35% | 65% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Houston Astros | 59% | 41% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Minnesota Twins | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games
Twins this season
83–72
54% across 155 games