Monday · May 18 · 6:40 PM ✦
ASTROS @ TWINS
Target Field. · 61 degrees, overcast, wind 2 mph calm
Final
Astros
3
TWINS
6
Our Pick
MINNESOTA TWINS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 3–6 Twins
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Astros | Twins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Houston Astros | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 40% | 58% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Minnesota Twins | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Minnesota Twins | 47% | 53% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Houston Astros | 57% | 43% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Minnesota Twins | 48% | 52% | 4–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Astros this season
30–14
68% across 44 games
Twins this season
23–22
51% across 45 games