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Saturday · May 16 · 6:11 PM ✦

BREWERS @ TWINS

Target Field. · 81 degrees, clear, wind 9 mph out to rf

Final

BREWERS 2
Twins 1

Our Pick

MILWAUKEE BREWERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 2–1 Brewers

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Brewers Twins Projected Result
Baseline Milwaukee Brewers 60% 40% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 55% 45% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 53% 47% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Minnesota Twins 47% 53% 3–3
Logistic Minnesota Twins 44% 56%
Random Forest Milwaukee Brewers 51% 49%
Consensus Milwaukee Brewers 51% 49% 4–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Brewers this season

25–17

60% across 42 games

Twins this season

23–22

51% across 45 games