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Friday · May 15 · 6:12 PM ✦

BREWERS @ TWINS

Target Field. · 85 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph out to cf

Final

BREWERS 3
Twins 2

Our Pick

MILWAUKEE BREWERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 3–2 Brewers

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Brewers Twins Projected Result
Baseline Milwaukee Brewers 58% 42% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Minnesota Twins 47% 53% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 67% 33% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Minnesota Twins 44% 56% 3–3 ✗
Logistic Milwaukee Brewers 57% 43% — ✓
Random Forest Minnesota Twins 49% 51% — ✗
Consensus Milwaukee Brewers 54% 46% 3–3 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Brewers this season

92–69

57% across 161 games

Twins this season

83–72

54% across 155 games