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Sunday · May 17 · 1:11 PM ✦

BREWERS @ TWINS

Target Field. · 62 degrees, cloudy, wind 13 mph in from cf

Final

Brewers 4
TWINS 5

Our Pick

MILWAUKEE BREWERS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 4–5 Twins

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Brewers Twins Projected Result
Baseline Minnesota Twins 40% 60% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Minnesota Twins 47% 53% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 51% 49% 3–2 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Milwaukee Brewers 62% 38% 3–3 ✗
Logistic Minnesota Twins 48% 52% — ✓
Random Forest Milwaukee Brewers 64% 36% — ✗
Consensus Milwaukee Brewers 51% 49% 3–3 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Brewers this season

92–69

57% across 161 games

Twins this season

83–72

54% across 155 games