Thursday · May 14 · 12:41 PM ✦
MARLINS @ TWINS
Target Field. · 75 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph r to l
Final
Marlins
1
TWINS
9
Our Pick
MIAMI MARLINS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Miami Marlins · Actual: 1–9 Twins
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Marlins | Twins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Miami Marlins | 65% | 35% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Miami Marlins | 56% | 44% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Miami Marlins | 60% | 40% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Minnesota Twins | 46% | 54% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Miami Marlins | 54% | 46% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Miami Marlins | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Marlins this season
29–17
63% across 46 games
Twins this season
23–22
51% across 45 games