Wednesday · May 13 · 6:42 PM ✦
MARLINS @ TWINS
Target Field. · 70 degrees, clear, wind 8 mph l to r
Final
MARLINS
9
Twins
5
Our Pick
MINNESOTA TWINS
✗ WrongProjected: 2–4 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 9–5 Marlins
63%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Marlins | Twins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Minnesota Twins | 31% | 69% | 2–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 36% | 64% | 2–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 24% | 76% | 2–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Minnesota Twins | 20% | 80% | 2–5 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Miami Marlins | 54% | 46% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Miami Marlins | 57% | 43% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Minnesota Twins | 37% | 63% | 2–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Marlins this season
29–17
63% across 46 games
Twins this season
23–22
51% across 45 games