Sunday · May 3 · 11:47 AM ✦
BLUE JAYS @ TWINS
Target Field. · 65 degrees, sunny, wind 13 mph out to rf
Final
Blue Jays
3
TWINS
4
Our Pick
TORONTO BLUE JAYS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 3–4 Twins
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Blue Jays | Twins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Toronto Blue Jays | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Toronto Blue Jays | 56% | 44% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Minnesota Twins | 42% | 58% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Minnesota Twins | 49% | 51% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Toronto Blue Jays | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Blue Jays this season
20–25
44% across 45 games
Twins this season
23–22
51% across 45 games