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Sunday · May 3 · 11:47 AM ✦

BLUE JAYS @ TWINS

Target Field. · 65 degrees, sunny, wind 13 mph out to rf

Final

Blue Jays 3
TWINS 4

Our Pick

TORONTO BLUE JAYS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 3–4 Twins

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Blue Jays Twins Projected Result
Baseline Toronto Blue Jays 56% 44% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 62% 38% 4–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Minnesota Twins 42% 58% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Toronto Blue Jays 56% 44% 3–3 ✗
Logistic Minnesota Twins 42% 58% — ✓
Random Forest Minnesota Twins 49% 51% — ✓
Consensus Toronto Blue Jays 51% 49% 3–3 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Blue Jays this season

73–82

47% across 155 games

Twins this season

83–72

54% across 155 games