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Tuesday · May 12 ✦

MARLINS @ TWINS

Target Field.

Final

Marlins 0
TWINS 3

Our Pick

MINNESOTA TWINS

✓ Correct

Projected: 2–4 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 0–3 Twins

63%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Marlins Twins Projected Result
Baseline Minnesota Twins 42% 58% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Minnesota Twins 33% 67% 2–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Minnesota Twins 42% 58% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Minnesota Twins 18% 82% 2–4 ✓
Logistic Minnesota Twins 43% 57% — ✓
Random Forest Minnesota Twins 41% 59% — ✓
Consensus Minnesota Twins 37% 63% 2–4 ✓
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Marlins this season

81–74

52% across 155 games

Twins this season

83–72

54% across 155 games