Friday · May 1 · 7:10 pm ✦
BLUE JAYS @ TWINS
Target Field. · 53 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph out to rf
Final
BLUE JAYS
7
Twins
3
Our Pick
MINNESOTA TWINS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 7–3 Blue Jays
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Blue Jays | Twins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Toronto Blue Jays | 64% | 36% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Minnesota Twins | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Minnesota Twins | 47% | 53% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Minnesota Twins | 43% | 57% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Minnesota Twins | 48% | 52% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games
Twins this season
83–72
54% across 155 games