Thursday · April 30 ✦
BLUE JAYS @ TWINS
Target Field.
Final
Blue Jays
1
TWINS
7
Our Pick
MINNESOTA TWINS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 1–7 Twins
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Blue Jays | Twins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Toronto Blue Jays | 65% | 35% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 40% | 60% | 4–5 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Toronto Blue Jays | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Minnesota Twins | 38% | 62% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Minnesota Twins | 41% | 59% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Minnesota Twins | 46% | 54% | 4–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games
Twins this season
83–72
54% across 155 games