Saturday · May 2 · 1:11 PM ✦
BLUE JAYS @ TWINS
Target Field. · 60 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph out to lf
Final
BLUE JAYS
11
Twins
4
Our Pick
MINNESOTA TWINS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 11–4 Blue Jays
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Blue Jays | Twins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Minnesota Twins | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 36% | 64% | 2–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Minnesota Twins | 38% | 62% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Minnesota Twins | 45% | 55% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Toronto Blue Jays | 66% | 34% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Minnesota Twins | 46% | 54% | 3–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Blue Jays this season
20–25
44% across 45 games
Twins this season
23–22
51% across 45 games