Wednesday · April 29 · 12:41 PM ✦
MARINERS @ TWINS
Target Field. · 51 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 12 mph r to l
Final
MARINERS
5
Twins
3
Our Pick
MINNESOTA TWINS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 5–3 Mariners
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mariners | Twins | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Minnesota Twins | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 40% | 60% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Minnesota Twins | 29% | 71% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Seattle Mariners | 52% | 48% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Seattle Mariners | 51% | 49% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Minnesota Twins | 46% | 54% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mariners this season
29–17
63% across 46 games
Twins this season
23–24
49% across 47 games